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This is a topic from the Current Politics and Religious Topics forum on inthe00s.
Subject: Iraq solutions
Written By: Echo Nomad on 06/22/06 at 10:45 pm
Solutions
Ok, Bush is no longer president. For some reason you are, and now it's up to you to figure out what to do about Iraq. History will determine the success of your presidency upon your action and it's impact on the future. What's your command Mr. or Ms President?
---
Personally I'd like to see us get out of this the best way possible, and believe that there may be some time before total disaster. Here are some ideas to discuss among my advisors- you.
Set a timetable: While initially against it, there appears to be distinct advantages in timed withdrawal. First it gives the American public an end to the light of the tunnel and would give a big moral boost to not only the public, but to the soldiers as well. Second, it gives a definite signal to the Iraqi's that they had better shape up within a given time. Finally it gives us a definite exit and helps us save some face.
Breakout the surplus equipment:
Granted, there is a problem finding people who would are dependable in a fight. But for those poorly equipped Iraqi's who actually do fight, give them equipment! Breakout our old surplus M-1's and M-113's sitting in a tank farm, ect. Figure out how many divisions Iraq would need to defend itself and at least build seed units in each.
One type of a division that would really help them keep order is an air assault like our 101 airborne which is helicopter borne light infantry.
Look at Confederation, not separation. There would still be a general government, but the Kurd's, Shiites, and Sunni's would decide on their own inner states.
I also suggested reploying these two divisions (1st Armored, 2nd Infantry) to theaters that they're actually needed. Europe is no longer the weak, war torn area that can't defend itself from a Russian invasion. And post Korean War generations in South Korea are hell bent to kick American out of Korea. It should be noted that there is also a difference between a facility and a division, so I didn't suggest that we just abandoned the facilities in Germany or England. We just don't need to field small army's there when they are needed elsewhere.
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: Mushroom on 06/23/06 at 11:32 am
Solutions
Set a timetable: While initially against it, there appears to be distinct advantages in timed withdrawal. First it gives the American public an end to the light of the tunnel and would give a big moral boost to not only the public, but to the soldiers as well. Second, it gives a definite signal to the Iraqi's that they had better shape up within a given time. Finally it gives us a definite exit and helps us save some face.
And what is an appropriate time for withdrawl? 1 year? 5 years? 50 years? What if the Iraqi Government wants to sign a treaty to build permanent bases there, like what we have in Germany, Japan, South Korea, and many other places on the planet?
We still have troops in Italy, Germany, and Japan. And that war ended over 60 years ago. We still have troops in South Korea, even though that has been over for 50 years. We still have troops in former Yugoslavia, even though that conflict officially ended almost 10 years ago.
So what is an appropriate time for withdrawl? Before I am willing to listen to anybody about "timeline", I want to know what exactly a timeline is. And I want to see the troops of earlier conflicts resolved before the one we are involved in now.
Breakout the surplus equipment:
Granted, there is a problem finding people who would are dependable in a fight. But for those poorly equipped Iraqi's who actually do fight, give them equipment! Breakout our old surplus M-1's and M-113's sitting in a tank farm, ect. Figure out how many divisions Iraq would need to defend itself and at least build seed units in each.
One type of a division that would really help them keep order is an air assault like our 101 airborne which is helicopter borne light infantry.
The problem with the new Iraqi Military is not the lack of equipment, it is the lack of people.
The Saddam government left the nation with a huge surplus of military hardware. They have everything form T-72 tanks and BMP personnel carriers to helicopters and MIG aircraft. What they do not have is trustworthy people to use it all.
The US Government has been very careful to NOT provide Iraq with US hardware. And it is not a subject of trust, it is a subject of economics. US hardware is among the most expensive in the world. Iraq has been useing Soviet hardware for generations, and the continue to use it because it is inexpensive, and readily available.
There is also a political side to this. By continuing to buy hardware from the Soviet Union, it removes the aspect of people starting to say that the war was in order to sell US military equipment. Just as the US is being careful to not import Iraqi oil, it is being equally careful to not export US equipment if it can be sent by another country.
Besides, we are doing nobody a favor by sending them old obsolete hardware. The Bradley is considered by many a death trap, but it is far better then the M-113 which it replaced. Even the BMP which they currently use is better then the M-113. And most hardware that is obsolete is sitting for use as spare parts, or because it is lost in the system. I entered the military in 1983, and I can honestly say that in my 10 years in, I never saw a functioning M-113 outside of a museum.
Look at Confederation, not separation. There would still be a general government, but the Kurd's, Shiites, and Sunni's would decide on their own inner states.
Good idea. That is also what Al-Queda and Iran want. In that way, they can foster resentment and fighting between the various groups for decades to come. And a weak and fractured Iraq does nobody any good, including Iraq.
We tried a Confederation once. In fact, it was our first form of government after we won the Revolution. And it lasted less then 7 years. It was such a horrible form of government that it should never be used as anything but a temporary way of binding seperate people together. Yugoslavia was also a confederation, and look at what happened when the only person able to keep them united died. We ended up with years of bloody war.
I also suggested reploying these two divisions (1st Armored, 2nd Infantry) to theaters that they're actually needed. Europe is no longer the weak, war torn area that can't defend itself from a Russian invasion. And post Korean War generations in South Korea are hell bent to kick American out of Korea. It should be noted that there is also a difference between a facility and a division, so I didn't suggest that we just abandoned the facilities in Germany or England. We just don't need to field small army's there when they are needed elsewhere.
You have to realize that base agreements with foreign countries are complex and involve more then just putting troops in place.
Before the Government puts (or removes) troops from these bases, it also has to gain the agreement of the host country. The Status Of Forces Agreements (SOFA) is an agreement as to where they will be stationed, how many will be stationed there, and for how long. The troops in Germany are there as what was originally an occupation force, then evolved into a NATO commitment.
And to be honest, there are still a lot of countries in Europe that do not fully trust Germany. Starting 2 World Wars in 50 years and killing tens of millions of people tends to make the neighbors slightly uneasy. In fact, I doubt that a lot of countries would have sit back and let Germany unify if not for the US forces there to keep an eye on everything.
And if we pulled our troops out of Korea, do you really think that the North will be friendly northern neighbors? For goodness sakes, we are talking about a country which is building nuclear weapons, even though it signed an agreement with us to stop their program. And they are about to teest a ballistic missil, even though we have an agreement that they will suspend all such tests.
And if South Korea really wanted the US out, they would simply ask us to leave. We are not on occupation force, we are there at the request of their government. If the majority of people wanted to kick the US out, they would be gone. That has long been part of the platform of the Socialist Party in South Korea. And the Socialist Party there gains about as many votes in the elections as the Socialist Party in the US gets. Hardly an overwhelming cry to leave.
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: MaxwellSmart on 06/23/06 at 3:53 pm
a. The war in Iraq is NOT a war, it is an occupation.
b. The attack on a disarmed nation called Iraq is NOT comparable to WWII.
c. The occupation of Iraq is NOT about the interests of the Iraqi people, it's abut the interests of oil barons.
d. The British forced the people of Iraq into one nation. It could only be held together by force. There will be no "democracy" in the region until the various ethnicities and religious factions sort things out bloodily. The United States cannot impose democracy on Iraq. Anyway, the U.S. is not interested in democracy for Iraq. The real motivation behind our occupation is to let the fatcats steal all they can from Iraq.
e. There is no such thing as the War on Terror. The so-called War on Terror is a vector for fascism. If we DO want to eschew terrorism, it would be a good idea to get out of Iraq, a country where we are not wanted...and make no mistake about it, we are going to have to get out!
Like I said, the first thing to do is to nationalize the oil industry. No more taxpayer funded death for the private profits of the greedy few.
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: Echo Nomad on 06/23/06 at 5:00 pm
And what is an appropriate time for withdrawl? 1 year? 5 years? 50 years? What if the Iraqi Government wants to sign a treaty to build permanent bases there, like what we have in Germany, Japan, South Korea, and many other places on the planet?
We still have troops in Italy, Germany, and Japan. And that war ended over 60 years ago. We still have troops in South Korea, even though that has been over for 50 years. We still have troops in former Yugoslavia, even though that conflict officially ended almost 10 years ago.
So what is an appropriate time for withdrawl? Before I am willing to listen to anybody about "timeline", I want to know what exactly a timeline is. And I want to see the troops of earlier conflicts resolved before the one we are involved in now.
The problem with the new Iraqi Military is not the lack of equipment, it is the lack of people.
The Saddam government left the nation with a huge surplus of military hardware. They have everything form T-72 tanks and BMP personnel carriers to helicopters and MIG aircraft. What they do not have is trustworthy people to use it all.
The US Government has been very careful to NOT provide Iraq with US hardware. And it is not a subject of trust, it is a subject of economics. US hardware is among the most expensive in the world. Iraq has been useing Soviet hardware for generations, and the continue to use it because it is inexpensive, and readily available.
There is also a political side to this. By continuing to buy hardware from the Soviet Union, it removes the aspect of people starting to say that the war was in order to sell US military equipment. Just as the US is being careful to not import Iraqi oil, it is being equally careful to not export US equipment if it can be sent by another country.
Besides, we are doing nobody a favor by sending them old obsolete hardware. The Bradley is considered by many a death trap, but it is far better then the M-113 which it replaced. Even the BMP which they currently use is better then the M-113. And most hardware that is obsolete is sitting for use as spare parts, or because it is lost in the system. I entered the military in 1983, and I can honestly say that in my 10 years in, I never saw a functioning M-113 outside of a museum.
Good idea. That is also what Al-Queda and Iran want. In that way, they can foster resentment and fighting between the various groups for decades to come. And a weak and fractured Iraq does nobody any good, including Iraq.
We tried a Confederation once. In fact, it was our first form of government after we won the Revolution. And it lasted less then 7 years. It was such a horrible form of government that it should never be used as anything but a temporary way of binding seperate people together. Yugoslavia was also a confederation, and look at what happened when the only person able to keep them united died. We ended up with years of bloody war.
You have to realize that base agreements with foreign countries are complex and involve more then just putting troops in place.
Before the Government puts (or removes) troops from these bases, it also has to gain the agreement of the host country. The Status Of Forces Agreements (SOFA) is an agreement as to where they will be stationed, how many will be stationed there, and for how long. The troops in Germany are there as what was originally an occupation force, then evolved into a NATO commitment.
And to be honest, there are still a lot of countries in Europe that do not fully trust Germany. Starting 2 World Wars in 50 years and killing tens of millions of people tends to make the neighbors slightly uneasy. In fact, I doubt that a lot of countries would have sit back and let Germany unify if not for the US forces there to keep an eye on everything.
And if we pulled our troops out of Korea, do you really think that the North will be friendly northern neighbors? For goodness sakes, we are talking about a country which is building nuclear weapons, even though it signed an agreement with us to stop their program. And they are about to teest a ballistic missil, even though we have an agreement that they will suspend all such tests.
And if South Korea really wanted the US out, they would simply ask us to leave. We are not on occupation force, we are there at the request of their government. If the majority of people wanted to kick the US out, they would be gone. That has long been part of the platform of the Socialist Party in South Korea. And the Socialist Party there gains about as many votes in the elections as the Socialist Party in the US gets. Hardly an overwhelming cry to leave.
Well, how long did it take to train a combat ready (measured in divisions) American army in WW2? Frankly 2 years ought to be enough time to get serious about raising up and Iraqi army of at least 10 divisions. It seems that only two extremes are being fielded, the immediate withdrawl which would pull the rug out under Iraq and all we have been trying to do, or continuing to linger until some other president gets to worry about how to get out. I
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: Foo Bar on 06/23/06 at 9:42 pm
What's your command Mr. or Ms President?
Following the conflict, there will be a mop-up period that may involve a brief flare-up of violence in the region. China has agreed to provide the manpower in exchange for Taiwan and Iran, Russia to provide the heavy equipment in exchange for the resources of the former 'stans, with the exception of Pakistan, which is to be handed over to India as a condition of their participation. We will provide air support and claim the remaining land from Egypt to Iraq. The European Union has agreed to make no land claims in exchange for being the sole contractor for all regional pipeline and infrastructure rebuilding.
We've learned that our predecessors were right: Democracy cannot be exported to a tribal theocratic culture. To that end, all allied troops and contractors were withdrawn as of last week.
Targets were selected and programmed, and our respective launch systems were interlocked, requiring the authorization of the leaders of the EU, US, China, Russia, and India before firing. The last of these authorizations has been received; the world, united, has chosen to end this war today.
I'm pleased to tell you today that I have signed legislation that will outlaw the Middle East forever. We begin bombing in five minutes.
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: MaxwellSmart on 06/23/06 at 11:02 pm
Again, this is not war. It's piracy.
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: Mushroom on 06/24/06 at 9:57 am
As to the equipment issue at least from what the news allows us to hear, Iraq isn
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: LyricBoy on 06/25/06 at 9:12 am
Like I said, the first thing to do is to nationalize the oil industry. No more taxpayer funded death for the private profits of the greedy few.
If I read the rest of your post, the industry already controls the government. So yoi want to fund death for the benefit of the national treasury itself?
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: MaxwellSmart on 06/25/06 at 1:19 pm
If I read the rest of your post, the industry already controls the government. So yoi want to fund death for the benefit of the national treasury itself?
http://www.inthe00s.com/smile/13/icon_scratch.gif
Wait a minute...I'm confused.
Uh, OK, I don't claim to have the whole thing figured out. What I do see is the American auto industry committing suicide, and the multinational oil cartels making a panicked last hurrah of bigtime profits before the easily-accessible light sweet crude all gets sucked from the ground. Private industry is ina mad tizzy, as personfied by screaming azz0les such as Kudlow and Cramer and John Stossel. The private sector has proven itself incapable of doing right by the people.
I don't say its necessary to have a noncompetitive state-run monopoly such as Mexico's Pemex, but we do need public policies that will redesign the country's transportation infrastructure for the 21st century and invest in the development of renewable energies.
Are you aware that American cars have the lowest fuel efficiency in the whole wide world? Lowest by far. We can't even sell our cars to the Chinese because China has far higher fuel economy standards than we do. Think about it. China! What does GM do in their death throes? Build even bigger SUVs! Remember what happened to the dinosaurs?
Our industrial tycoons are digging their own grave. Let's not share their grave.
If Americans had the brains, they would be demanding the government act in favor of the people and renounce the "government can't do anything myth," and put John Stossel out of work!
I'm sick of sending my hard-earned cash to the lunatic oil barons.
Subject: Re: Iraq solutions
Written By: Flyingeye76 on 06/28/06 at 11:00 pm
OK, for the first part, it takes approximately 2-3 years to build a fully operational combat ready division. But the problem in Iraq is one of screening. There is a 3-6 month screening process in place now to try and keep out "moles". They have let in some zealots in the past, both those who want to turn on their fellow soldiers, as well as those who want to use the military as a way to strike back at anybody who even looks like they are dangerous. Their screening process takes time, because they do not want any more people like that in the military.
Then once they are recruited, it takes from 12-24 months to get them really effective in combat. Of course, the first people that were recruited were mostly veterans already, so they only needed to learn some new procedures. All the eligable and willing veterans have been recruited now, so the recruiting is now turning to people who had never been in the military, these take longer to train.
As for the equipment, the Iraqi armed forces were trained and equiped following Soviet doctrine. They were trained with Soviet equipment, and with manuals that were already translated into their own language. And as you mentioned, the equipment is plentiful and cheap. Your tank needs parts? Well, you can go to Hungary, Poland, China, Viet Nam, Cuba, Egypt, or many other nations in the world to get parts. The parts were all made of common resources. And the fabrication and repair books are in a language you can read.
US Equipment is much harder to get. The US traditionally keeps a tight lid on it's current technology. Oh yea, you can get an M-60 battle tank from the 60's on the open market, but what about an M-1? No dice. And making a replacement body part for an M-60 is a piece of cake, compared to the exotic composite covering of the M-1. The M-60 was comparable to the old Soviet T-62 series. Against T-72 tanks, it would not stand a chance.
And in Iraq, tanks and fighter planes are not much good. This is not warfare like the initial invasion was. It is no longer a battle of mobility, but guerilla fighting in an Urban environment. Tanks and fighters are good, if you want to level blocks of terrain. But that is not the idea here. They are trying to remove bad guys from an environment where they are surrounded by civilian non-combatants. This is always a high casualty operation, and the most dangerous.
The phrase the military uses is MOUT, Military Operations in Urban Terrain. And it is a high-risk, high "pucker factor" type of operation. Nobody likes to work in this kind of environment, because of the risk of hit and run tactics. I myself worked as a guerilla in a MOUT exercise. Myself and 7 others were able to tie up more then a platoon by doing sniping and random attacks before fading back into the buildings.
Of course, the tactics that are being done in Iraq by the guerillas are against the Geneva Convention. Then again, everything being done by these insurgents is against the Geneva Convention. People scream about the treatment of their POWs by the US and Iraqi forces. But ya know what? The first time a POW is registered to International Authorities by the Insurgents will be the first. I find it hard to think of them as human, when their idea of "humane treatment" is beheading people captured.
I appreciate your indepth explaination of the difficulties in raising an army in Iraq. You brought up the issue of what kind of equipment should be used in rebuilding which has been debated by various experts. Some point out that the Iraqi's really can only maintain Russian equipment due to their previous experience as well as maintaining. Others suggest that we outta outfit them with modern US equipment because it keeps American advisers and presence in Iraq, rather than Russian. I suggested M1's because they are probably more powerful than anything Iran has, yet not as powerful as the A1-A3 varients and are now surplus. I do know that conventional forces aren't as useful in an insurgance problem, however they will need a competent standard force to defend their country.
Maybe the solution is to split the duties with a conventional military defending Iraq with a national police force (a combination of the US Marshal's, FBI, and swat teams) focusing on the internal problems. This though probably comes with it's own problems and solutions.